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Your typical next-door kao-peh kao-bu neighbour.
Location: Singapore

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Living on Imaginary Money

Monday, October 13, 2008 | Business and Economy

As I think about the recent mayhem, it began to seem apparent that the world has been living on imaginary cash for the longest time. The recent economic downturn is probably long overdue.

The problem began ever since cash was free to value itself against gold. Then, we have stocks and property market that are actually made up by us humans putting an imaginary value to it. It's sort of like a super intelligent and legalized pyramid scheme you know - putting money into a money pool and "cashing out" at the right time.

To put it simply, one moment I could get a valuation of your house and it's worth $1m. The next moment another person comes in and values it at $1.1m. You think you have gained an extra $0.1m, but that's not true until you actually sell your house. And to really sell your house, you'll need somebody to pay you cold hard cash.

That guy valuating your house ain't the person that's going to buy it. He's just looking at general market statistics and putting a price tag on your house. Until somebody out there has $1.1m to spare, your house is probably worth as much as how much a person is willing to pay for it. If you ask somebody from Zimbawe, it goes like: "the bricks and cement".

About cold hard cash. Where do you get it from? Maybe take a loan from the bank... well, where did the bank get their cash from? It's from all the people who put money into it. People who clean your toilets, sell you fishes at the wet market, deliver your goods to your office, milk the cows.

Yes, money originates from something very basic, and that's trade (tada, your supply and demand topic); you have something I want, and I give you something in exchange for it. It used to be exchange of farm produce (barter trade), then it became precious metals (gold, silver), and finally, money. Money used to represent gold, but now, it's just a piece of paper with a floating value! If you look at it objectively, US dollars is probably worth nothing. If you hold a dollar bill, it's likely that piece of paper meant you owe Japan some money... better sell that "IOU" to somebody else who wants it :P

Singaporeans don't really realize that day-to-day, they pay for something that doesn't even physically exist. Don't believe me? Check this out...

  • PSLE, GCE O Levels, GCE A Levels, Diploma, Degree, Masters', PhD
  • Housing Valuation
  • Certificate of Entitlement (COE)
  • Registry of Marrige (ROM) Certificate
  • Lottery Tickets
  • Certificates, certificates, certificates

Some may tell me, oh yes, education is for knowledge. I'd agree that to learn something has to be paid for, but for the sake of a "piece of paper" (as many Singaporeans affectionately call it) is basically a form of bribery. Certifications are glorified testimonials, albeit highly inaccurate. It's like you getting a letter from Bush saying that you are good in Computer Engineering. How many times have you seen your company hire a new degree graduate and you think to yourself, "this guy is dunk"?

Back in the old days, testimonials were made out of goodwill: "John makes great pizza!". Without a dollar value pegged to testimonials, they were honest and accurate.

People are telling me, times are bad; go study. I was like: "Uh? Siao boh? Buy another certificate?" In fact, 9 in 10 government sector tell me to go study and join the government. You'll be safe. Nice try. Methinks please go get some cash and gold... in times of war, your degree is as good as toilet paper.

I'm sure a lot of you would have been offended by my post. Well, times are bad... what to do? It makes me think harder :P


posted by detach at 03:12:29 PM | permanent link | 3 comments

3 comments:

Shulei said...

Once upon a time in a village in India, a man announced to the
villagers that he would buy monkeys for $10.

The villagers seeing there were many monkeys around, went out to the forest
and started catching them.
The man bought thousands at $10, but, as the supply started to diminish,
the villagers stopped their efforts. The man further
announced that he would now buy at $20. This renewed the efforts of the
villagers and they started catching monkeys again.

Soon the supply diminished even further and people started going back to
their farms. The offer rate increased to $25 and the supply of monkeys
became so little that it was an effort to even see a monkey, let alone
catch it!

The man now announced that he would buy monkeys at $50! However, since he
had to go to the city on some business, his assistant would now act as
buyer, on his behalf.

In the absence of the man, the assistant told the villagers: 'Look at all
these monkeys in the big cage that the man has collected. I will sell them
to you at $35 and when he returns from the city, you can sell them back to
him for $50.'

The villagers squeezed together their savings and bought all the monkeys.

Then they never saw the man or his assistant again, only monkeys
everywhere! Welcome to WALL STREET ....

Monday, October 20, 2008 11:29:30 PM

Sheer Gluttony said...

I am just paraphrasing the words of The Undercover Economist, Tim Harford from the Financial Times from my understanding. It is true that a degree is not an indication of intelligence. God knows, all of us have met one too many degree holding idiots.

But a degree is not so much as an indicator of intelligence, but as a gauge of people of a certain standard. It saves the economic cost of your HR department from interviewing tens of hundreds of people to find that qualified ONE.

So the next time, you meet a degree holding idiot in your office. Blame the HR department. :P

Tuesday, October 14, 2008 12:15:12 AM

JJ said...

Heh, imo in times of war, cash is really toilet paper. Just think of banana money :-) A degree is not that bad, provided your knowledge and training is usable :-)

Monday, October 13, 2008 07:31:58 PM

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